Recent history works against Vesely

Recent history works against Vesely
June 2, 2013, 4:15 pm
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What will Wizards do with log jam at forward?

The odds on Jan Vesely proving himself next season to be worthy of a No. 6 overall pick are slim.

Vesely is coming off a miserable second season in which his minutes were sporadic and his play took a turn for the worse, averaging 2.5 points and 2.4 rebounds in only 51 appearances.

Heading into Year 3 -- Vesely will make $3.34 million -- he’ll have to make a remarkable turnaround to sustain himself in Washington, or with any NBA team. To a lesser degree, the same goes for Chris Singleton, another forward taken 18th overall in 2011. The Wizards have the option on a fourth season at $4.2 million. 

First-round picks have guaranteed deals, and when a team uses a lottery pick such as the one for Vesely, they tend to be more patient. Recent history suggests time is running out:

Kwame Brown (2001): The 1st overall pick, the 6-11 center was drafted out of high school. He lasted four seasons, with his best coming in 2003-04 when he averaged 10.9 points and 7.4 rebounds in Washington. Still, Brown was an underachiever who didn’t start most games of his career in Washington. Only because of his size and the dearth of big men in the NBA he has stuck on rosters. He has played for six other teams

Jarvis Hayes (2003): The 10th overall pick, the small forward showed promise. Hayes, however, only had one season averaging double figures scoring (10.2) as his career was plagued by injuries to his right knee. The Wizards parted ways with him after four seasons.  After going to the Detroit Pistons for three seasons, Hayes was out of the league.

Jared Jeffries (2002): Taken 11th overall, the power forward lasted four seasons. Jeffries was drafted for defense. He was durable and played at least 20 minutes per game in his last three years in Washington, but never got better. Jeffries has been an NBA journeyman, playing for three other teams, including two stints with the New York Knicks.  He averaged 1.2 points with the Portland Trail Blazers this season.

Juan Dixon (2002): Taken 17th overall, the shooting guard had three seasons here. He averaged 9.4 points in his second season, spent time with three other teams before playing one final season in Washington in 2008-09 season.

Oleksiy Pecherov (2006): The 7-foot Ukrainian was chosen 18th overall, and he only played two seasons before parting with Washington. He averaged 3.6 points and never started a game. He played just one more NBA season, with the Minnesota Timberwolves.