O'Halloran: Week 10 NFL picks

O'Halloran: Week 10 NFL picks
November 12, 2011, 2:48 pm
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Just about every team starts the second half of their season this weekend and 20 teams either lead or are within two games of their division lead. Your beloved Redskins start tied for third (or last) in the NFC East, three games behind the Giants. The Week 10 picks:

Redskins (plus 4) at Dolphins: At this point, its tough to find reasons why the Redskins will break 20 points much less reach the end zone in a non-garbage time situation. Miami isnt very good, either, but coming off its first win, the Fish use Brandon MarshallReggie Bush to get its second win. Dolphins 20-7.Steelers (minus 3) at Bengals: The AFC South has turned into a knock-down, drag-out brawl and Cincinnati and Baltimore havent even played yet. Theres something about a three-point home underdog this year that makes me take the Fighting Andy Daltons even though Dick LeBeau is 11-1 against rookie quarterbacks the last eight seasons. Bengals 23-21.Broncos (plus 3) at Chiefs: Kansas Citys defensive game plan is simple win on first and second down to make Tim Tebow throw the football. Denvers offensive game plan is simple win on first and second down to make sure Tim Tebow runs the football. The Broncos have 671 rushing yards the last three games, but KC bounces back. Chiefs 17-7.Jaguars (minus 3) at Colts: Before this year, the Colts hadnt been home underdogs in a non-Bag It Week 17 Game since beating New England 24-20 as a five-point dog four years ago. Dont expect a lot of scoring the Jaguars are last and Indy is 30th in scoring. It will be fascinating to see how the Colts are shaken up after the season. Jaguars 9-3. Bills (plus 5.5) at Cowboys: Buffalo lost a big-time home game last week to the Jets, creating the first hint of doubt about its second-half prospects. Dallas pass rusher DeMarcus Ware (12 sacks) gets a shot at third-try LT Andy Levitre; the Redskins Brian Orakpo didnt have much luck two weeks ago. Cowboys 19-13.Texans (minus 3) at Buccaneers: Poor Gulf Coast Florida, many Bucs fans will be unable to see Albert Haynesworths Tampa debut. The interesting part is what Big Al will have done in his first nights leading into the game. He cited distractions as why he didnt sign with Tampa Bay a few years back. Texans 21-14.Titans (plus 3.5) at Panthers: Carolinas offense remains the most enjoyable Ive seen this year because of its varied looks and, obviously, because of Cam. WR Steve Smith has 46 catches, equaling his 2010 total and the Redskins were the exception in containing TEs Jeremy Shockey and Greg Olsen (combined 53 catches). The Titans will always regret giving Chris Johnson his money. Panthers 27-21.Saints (minus 1) at Falcons: Something has to give here Drew Brees is 8-2 against Atlanta and Matt Ryan is 8-1 in division home games. Come the postseason, cant be a real supporter of either team because of their flaws. Atlantas Missing Link could be rookie WR Julio Jones, who has three 100-yard receiving efforts in his last four games. Falcons 33-30.Lions (plus 3) at Bears: It took awhile but Chicago offensive coordinator Mike Martz has finally accepted the running game and shorter drops for Jay Cutler is the best chance for success. Matt Forte is now the Bears most important offensive player because of that revelation. Detroit is plus-13 on turnover ratio and has allowed a league-low 49 second-half points so the Bears will need a quick start. Bears 23-17.Rams (plus 2.5) at Browns: Redskins fans should continue to root for whomever St. Louis plays call it the Beg For Bradford campaign. Browns 13-10.Cardinals (plus 13.5) at Eagles: Huge spread for teams one win apart in overall record, but Vegas still has faith in Philadelphia. Count me as those who thought the Eagles wins over Washington and Dallas righted the collective ship. Then they lose to Chicago. Im always scared of double-digit spread. Eagles 31-21.Ravens (minus 6.5) at Seahawks: Baltimore should be on Letdown Alert because it won late Sunday night until the coaches reviewed the tape Tuesday and saw how bad Seattle has been in the first half (2-6). Ravens 30-14.Giants (plus 3.5) at 49ers: My Lock of the Week. I saw Alex Smith in 2005 at FedEx and he looked only slightly better last week at FedEx. The Giants NFL-best pass rush (28 sacks) will expose him. Giants 26-18.Patriots (plus 1.5) at Jets: How did Bill Belichick allow his defense to get so wretched so quickly? Bad personnel moves. New England is last in yards allowed and passing yards allowed per game. Even though the Jets stink on offense, they still win. Jets 20-17.Vikings (plus 13.5) at Packers: Another QB The Redskins Didnt Draft Christian Ponder makes his second road start. This is exactly the path the Redskins should be taking, giving a young quarterback a test run to see if hes ready for next year. Packers 34-21.
RecordsStraight: 8-6 last week, 80-49 season.
Spread: 6-8 last week, 53-68-6 season.

Contact OHalloran at rohalloran@comcastsportsnet.com