The goal each year is to avoid 100 losses against the spread and it is rarely achieved so the next objective is to reach it as late as possible.
It was Week 14 for me this year, after a 4-10 debacle. Meanwhile, the straight-up percentage is humming along at 64 percent.
This weekends picks:
Redskins (plus 6.5) at Giants: The only time Eli Manning lost to the Redskins at home, it was a miserable December Sunday night and he went 18-for-53 the Giants didnt lose again on their way to a Super Bowl title. New York doesnt figure to have a championship team this year, but it has enough to drop the Redskins. Giants 30-24Cowboys (minus 7) at Buccaneers (Saturday): For all the talk about Jason Garretts job security, what about Raheem Morris. Tampa Bay is downright dreadful and its 41-14 loss to Jacksonville looks like 141-14 after seeing the Jaguars against Atlanta Thursday. Cowboys 31-27.Packers (minus 13.5) at Chiefs: New coach with Romeo Crennel and new quarterback with Kyle Orton for Kansas City, which kicked Todd Haley to the curb on Monday. None of it will matter. Packers 45-21.
Saints (minus 6.5) at Vikings: This fan of the Purple looking forward to seeing Christian Ponder next week at FedEx and the Saints are looking forward to facing him andor Joe Webb this week. Leslie Frazier needs to go, only for convincing Vikings management to trade for Donovan McNabb. Saints 34-17.Seahawks (plus 3.5) at Bears: Chicago has lost three straight since losing Jay Cutler and now it had to deal with receiver Sam Hurds arrest and subsequent release on drug charges. Cant wait to see the list of players he was supplying. Seahawks 9-3.Dolphins (no line) at Bills: Buffalo hasnt won since it destroyed the Redskins in Toronto, a six-game losing streak derailing its season. Dont really get Miami firing Tony Sparano after he got his team to go 4-2 after losing its first seven. Bills 14-10.Panthers (plus 6) at Texans: Houston, without a playoff appearance in franchise history prior to this year, not only as clinched the lowly AFC South, its in line for home field if it wins out. While the Texans wont make the Super Bowl, they will win their eighth straight game. Texans 27-20.Titans (minus 6.5) at Colts: If the Colts finish 0-16 and Jim Caldwell survives as head coach, Indianapolis is a complete joke. BUT the Colts get their first win Sunday. Colts 19-14.Bengals (minus 6.5) at Rams: Besides the previous ties, why is Josh McDaniels name being floated for a head coaching job (Kansas City) much less any job? He ruined Denver, -- and dont start with me about drafting Tim Tebow and in his first year calling the Rams plays, St. Louis is last in points per game. Bengals 28-7.Lions (minus 1) at Raiders: This game might bleed into prime-time just because of the penalties. The teams have combined for 235 penalties and the return of Ndamukong Suh means more flags. Carson Palmer is hitting The Wall physically. Lions 26-21.Patriots (minus 7.5) at Broncos: Game of the Week. Tommy vs. Timmy. If there was ever a defense that Tebow could take advantage of, its New England. It was stunning last week to see how bad the Patriots were in the back seven. But when in doubt, we go with Tom. Patriots 38-31.Jets (plus 3) at Eagles: Michael Vick led a win in his return from injury, but Gang Green has won three straight and six of eight. The Eagles are a pathetic 1-5 at home this year. Jets 23-19.Browns (plus 6.5) at Cardinals: Both teams starting quarterbacks were concussed last week, meaning its definitely Seneca Wallace for Cleveland and possibly a return to John Skelton for Arizona. Skelton has helped the Cardinals win five of their last six. Cardinals 23-20.Ravens (minus 2.5) at Chargers: The Bolts are an incredible 24-2 in DecemberJanuary since 2006 but they need Oakland to keep collapsing and Denver to start folding. Baltimore is 6-1 in its last seven, the lone loss being to Seattle in its last West Coast trip. Ravens 20-13.Steelers (plus 1.5) at 49ers: A major upgrade from last weeks MNF match-up, both teams have much to play for San Francisco for a first-round bye and Pittsburgh for seeding to play a first-round game at a dreadful AFC West division champ. The Black & Gold find a way. Steelers 21-20.RecordsStraight up: 9-5 last week, 131-73 season.
Spread: 4-10 last week, 87-107-3 season.
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