Hoyas remain in play for high NCAA Tourney seed

Hoyas remain in play for high NCAA Tourney seed
March 16, 2013, 12:30 am
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Georgetown's 58-55 loss to Syracuse Friday night in the Big East Tournament semifinals eliminated hopes of the program's record-setting eighth title.

The setback should not eliminate the 25-6 Hoyas from landing a high seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament, though perhaps not as high as they could have hoped for entering the week. The tournament bracket will be revealed on Sunday...sorry, Selection Sunday at 6 p.m.

Georgetown likely needed to win the conference tournament for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, though several teams were and remain in the mix for one of the coveted four slots. Winners of 12 of their final 13 regular season games, the Hoyas are now in the 2 and 3 seed discussion.

Following the results in both the Big East and ACC, ESPN's Joe Lunardi has Georgetown on the two line along with Kansas, Miami and Ohio State. No change among the teams in that foursome, but Lunardi now has the Hoyas as the final team in that group after having them atop it entering the day.

Indiana, Gonzaga, Louisville and Duke are Lunardi's top four seeds. The Cardinals advanced to the Big East finals by defeating Notre Dame while Maryland upset the favored Blue Devils.

Michigan State, Florida and New Mexico stand as teams that could jump Georgetown with additional wins. The Spartans advanced into the Big 10 semifinals while the Gators did the same in the SEC Tournament. The Lobos plays UNLV in the Mountain West Conference finals on Saturday in Las Vegas.

Seeding will receive most of the talk between now and Sunday night, though landing a first week spot in the Philadelphia pod and receiving fortuitous matchups going forward are ultimately bigger deals.

Speaking of bracketology talk, predicting how teams are selected into the Field of 68 does not require some advanced mathematical degrees (at least not once the actual number crunchers made the data available for all). At a basic level look at RPI and strength of schedule, factor in a team's last 10 results and record against the RPI's top 50 and 100 opponents. Then wash, rinse and repeat. For those willing to take a deeper dive, look at road record and non-conference strength of schedule. 

Taking the time to do make all the head-to-head comparisons required deserves credit and in that respect I certainly doff the tip of my cap to the Lunardi's of the world. However, when it comes to projecting the field, also remember there are 31 automatic bids and around another 30 that are essentially locks. That leaves at most seven slots to predict with perhaps 10-15 teams in that rather subjective discussion. So come Sunday night when you hear that so-and-so missed only one or two teams out of the 68, just realize what that tout really means.